
Another year, another couple thousand films! It’s hard making predictions of what you think another voting body would choose based on past behavior, your own personal favorites, etc. I try and balance these a bit, thinking that talent, like cream, rises. While I’ve been shaky on nominations in years past I remember naming longshots who have deservedly won several times. This time around as the nominations for the coveted award have just been announced I make my predictions of a few of those who you may not expect to walk to the stage, but gave incredible performances. Granted, after seeing Slumdog Millionaire I added it to a few categories below, so some basic changes were made this last month. After all was said and done I only correctly chose six of the eighteen categories below (I’ll stick to my night job, but keep the movies coming). For the first time, you can participate in the official Live Oscar Challenge online. Even YouTube has its own page for the ceremonies!
Best Picture:
Frost/Nixon; Slumdog Millionaire
- I’ve seen better pictures, but I think this will take it. I’d rather be handing it to Milk which is more topical, more worthy in this time of change, and the ‘people’s favorite’ would certainly be Benjamin Button here.
Actor In A Leading Role:
Frank Langella (Frost/Nixon); Sean Penn!
- Every tiny move his face made in this film was pure acting. Sean Penn as Harvey Milk is a very close second though I still haven’t seen The Wrestler (so I may change my vote here in the next few weeks). Hey, the web is malleable. Mickey Rourke made a startling performance in The Wrestler, unforgettable actually, and though I think it was incredibly worthy I’m sticking to my guns.
Actress In A Leading Role:
Angelina Jolie; Kate Winslet
- Sounds like an ify choice, eh? This descendant of Jon Voight, mother of many who says this is her last film was amazing to watch on screen for the first time, and in our face for 2+ hours. Her contemporary sculpted face (tattoos and all) were transformed into a woman from yesteryear in this true story of strife and mistaken identity. Of course Meryl Streep blew our toes completely off in Doubt as the stern sister and should get this, but she already has a mantleful, right? Kate Winslet won the Golden Globe, and I haven’t seen this film, but am told it’s good. And of course, Anne Hathaway does a turn against her glamourous and lightweight roles as a messed up sister - who knows….
Actor In A Supporting Role:
* Heath Ledger (Dark Knight)
- Yes, Ledger was superb in this silly role, downright evil incarnate. However, I do really think Michael Shannon could take it as the disturbed son in Revolutionary Road. It was, by far, the best role on screen this past year I’ve seen - though only too briefly on screen. Of course you know I’m a huge fan of Philip Seymour Hoffman, but his role as the controversial priest was lo-fi compared to other work he’s done. Josh Brolin was an uncanny Dan White lookalike, but the part was too removed for this award, not in the same class with the other gents - but he’ll be back.
Actress In A Supporting Role:
Viola Davis; Penélope Cruz
- This one is hard because I think it was a complete tie between Taranji P. Henson and Davis - both impassioned, both almost complete unknowns - they each gave incredible blockbuster, real performances which I’ve written about here. Henson was simply on screen for a greater period of time is all, but I think the “less is more” factor will kick in here. If Amy Adams were to win I think it would simply be Hollywood favoritism as her role was too safe, too soft - she’s a lightweight here as she’s proven better. Penélope Cruz is wonderful, but I can’t yet rate her performance here, and Tomei is the only actress here who has taken home one of these statues (but she’s quite notable in this picture!).
Animated Film:
Kung Fu Panda; Wall-E
- Just kuz. I didn’t see any of these three nominated though they all look very, well, cute. Doh!
Art Direction:
Changeling; The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- I think Benjamin Button was way overly computer-generated-o-centric and Revolutionary Road didn’t put me into the period the same way this one did. The Dark Knight was amazing, but, it is “supposed to be” - it’s Batman!
Directing:
Ron Howard (Frost/Nixon); Danny Boyle (Slumdog Millionaire)
- Of course I am rooting for my homeboy Gus Van Sant in this category as Milk, as far as I am concerned, has been the film of his career thusfar.
Documentary Feature:
* Man on Wire
- A VERY close split-second is Encounters at the End of the World. Both are amazing films.
Foreign Language Film:
Waltz with Bashir; Departures
- Though I haven’t seen it, The Class looks powerful too.
Cinematography:
* Slumdog Millionaire
- Button is close second. Again, Changeling the scenes are simply beautiful, though in this category I think they generally award based on long, lavish shots that set tone and define the place and Slumdog was visually captivating, Benjamin Button also did that expertly.
Costume Design:
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button; The Duchess
- But I want to say Revolutionary Road for this one. But that fierce academy of experts do love the Victorian, over-the-top design such as seen in The Duchess. Spin the bottle.
Makeup:
The Dark Knight; The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- It was pretty great. I didn’t like the makeup in Benjamin Button at all, and I am sure Hellboy was amazing, but it is otherwise not mentioned at all in the nominations, so it seems like an add-in for these purposes.
Film Editing:
* Slumdog Millionaire
- Frost/Nixon (second);The Dark Knight (third); Milk (fourth)
Sound Editing:
* The Dark Knight
- Slumdog Millionaire (second)
Visual Effects:
The Dark Knight; The Curious Case of Benjamin Button
- Iron Man (second). The Academy will probably award this to Benjamin Button per $$$ spent though.
Writing/Adapted Screenplay:
Doubt; Slumdog Millionaire
- Six thumbs up. Benjamin Button is a GREAT story though - that was its strong suit as a film.
Writing/Original Screenplay:
* Milk
[Originally blogged on 01/22/09]
A friend from back east wrote about the awards with a stunning similarity to some of my own feelings about the actual ceremonies:
“I thought it was pretty dull but I liked the format better than in recent years. Less joke telling, fewer production numbers, short acceptance speeches but no music cutting people off, no ongoing clips of the films nominated for best picture, not having last year’s winners announce this year’s winners….I liked the 5 prior winners saying things about each nominee but it was a lot of talking. Oh, I also really liked that they didn’t have the voiceover saying, “this is so and so’s third nomination and second win” as the winner walks up to the stage. I liked the set and Hugh Jackman did a good job. But it was boring. Nothing happened. It certainly went smoothly, but who wants to see that? Sean Penn was the only who made any kind of political statement at all. I’m really glad he won.”
I especially liked bringing back award winners to present individually to nominees, very classy and honoring, in their words. The only way my opinion differs is I thought Hugh Jackman was just OK, he is suave but not deep and though he can “dance and sing” he doesn’t do either really superbly. I also liked what Sean Penn said about Mickey Rourke, but still think Anthony Langella gave the greatest performance as Nixon, I could never imagine ever feeling for the guy, and his part humanized a man who screwed up the highest ranking in American politics. I also thought, though an living legend screen icon, that Sophia Loren looked like she was taken out of a box of foam peanuts after 2 years. Other than that, the big dance/song number was just a big old bomb. When Kate Winslet told Meryl Streep to ’suck it up’ I thought that was funny and slightly off. I missed the first few awards and the opening numbers so I can only comment from about an hour in, but as a presentation it was better than some, worse than many.